Prediction and forecasting system for trends, outcomes, and risks. Use when user mentions predictions, forecasts, trends, scenarios, or future outcomes. Anal...
Prediction system. See patterns, forecast outcomes, manage uncertainty.
memory/predict/Predictions are inherently uncertain. This skill provides structured analysis but does not guarantee outcomes. Always maintain appropriate uncertainty and update predictions as new information emerges.
Prediction data stored locally:
memory/predict/models.json - Prediction models and frameworksmemory/predict/scenarios.json - Scenario analysesmemory/predict/forecasts.json - Forecast recordsmemory/predict/accuracy.json - Prediction accuracy trackingUser: "Forecast sales for next quarter based on current data"
→ Use scripts/forecast_trend.py --metric "sales" --period Q2 --data "historical.csv"
→ Build forecast with confidence intervals and key assumptions
User: "What are possible scenarios for this project?"
→ Use scripts/generate_scenarios.py --project "X" --factors "budget,timeline,resources"
→ Create best-case, worst-case, and most-likely scenarios
User: "Assess risks for this business decision"
→ Use scripts/assess_risk.py --decision "expansion" --factors "market,competition,capital"
→ Identify risks, evaluate probabilities, develop mitigation strategies
User: "What's the probability of success?"
→ Use scripts/evaluate_probability.py --outcome "success" --factors "team,market,timing"
→ Calculate probability with explicit reasoning and confidence levels
| Script | Purpose |
|---|---|
forecast_trend.py | Forecast future trends |
generate_scenarios.py | Generate future scenarios |
assess_risk.py | Assess decision risks |
evaluate_probability.py | Evaluate outcome probabilities |
track_accuracy.py | Track prediction accuracy |
build_model.py | Build prediction models |
ZIP package — ready to use